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Dynamic Prediction of Web Requests

D. Bonino
dario . bonino @ polito . it
 
F. Corno
fulvio . corno @ polito . it
http://www.cad.polito.it/staff/corno/
G. Squillero
giovanni . squillero @ polito . it
http://www.cad.polito.it/staff/squillero/

CEC03: 2003 IEEE Congress on Evolutionary Computation, Canberra, Australia, 8th - 12th December 2003, pp. 2034-2041

KEYWORDS: Genetic Algorithms, Internet, Web Intelligence

ABSTRACT
As an increasing number of users access information on the World Wide Web, there is a opportunity to improve well known strategies for web prefetching, dynamic user modeling and dynamic site customization in order to obtain better subjective performance and satisfaction in web surfing. We propose a new method to exploit user navigational path behavior to predict, in real-time, future requests. Real-time user adaptation avoids the use of statistical techniques on web logs by adopting a predictive user model. We designed a new model derived from the Finite State Machine (FSM) formalism together with an evolutionary algorithm that evolves a population of FSMs for achieving a good prediction rate, and we evaluated the performance of the prediction system using the concepts of precision and applicability.


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[BCSq03] D. Bonino, F. Corno, G. Squillero, "Dynamic Prediction of Web Requests," CEC03: 2003 IEEE Congress on Evolutionary Computation, Canberra, Australia, 8th - 12th December 2003, pp. 2034-2041
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